The Last British Election

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An unexpected outcome: a crucial 3% of English voters switched to the Tories,having said something else in the opinion polls.  Cameron clearly can carry on with a choice of minor parties to give him a small majority.  But he is pledged to have a referendum on exiting the European Union.

But I’d also expect Britons to vote to stay in. This could also finish UKIP and restore Labour.  There is a general anti-Establishment mood, but if an exit from the European Union were once again rejected, the focus would have to switch.

As expected, the Scottish Nationalists made a great advance while the Liberal Democrats have almost vanished.  They will now be pushing for a new Referendum to separate Scotland, and are very likely to win it.

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